Explore what could happen.
See how fire could spread.
Explore how wind, fuel moisture and terrain shape a hypothetical fire in Morocco’s Rif forests.
THE RIF, MOROCCO · SCENARIO EXPLORER
Build your scenario.
Choose a starting point, set the conditions, and explore a 12-hour scenario.
- 01 · Choose a location
Click inside the highlighted Rif area.
- 02 · Set the conditions
Use a forecast or your own assumptions.
- 03 · Run & explore
Compare spread at +3, +6, +9 and +12h.
Where does the fire start?
NASA thermal anomaly
A detection is not a confirmed fireRun a scenario to unlock the timeline
Mean across model runs
Copernicus DEM · selected vegetation source
Not validated for operational response in Morocco
How to read the results & model limitations
Use Model vegetation to compare the actual input with Background only. Green canopy does not measure dry surface fuel: shrubs and grass can carry fire while forest spread depends on moisture, slope and wind. Light orange means fewer model runs reached that cell; transparent cells were not reached in these runs. The spread layer shows cumulative reach by the selected time, not live flames.
The map background is for orientation. Closed OpenStreetMap water polygons supplement WorldCover when available. Roads, narrow streams and construction sites are not resolved as reliable barriers. ESA WorldCover 2021 provides approximate fuel classes; narrow watercourses and roads can be missed when it is resampled to the selected grid. Its default forest classification was designed for central Italy and has not been calibrated for the Rif. Satellite imagery is a background only and may not be current.
Wind and estimated fuel moisture change with the hourly forecast. Wind is uniform across the study area; local terrain-driven wind and ember spotting are not modelled. The model ignores spread beyond the selected grid; the edge warning checks only the currently displayed result and does not prove the run is complete.